Microsoft — what the record actually shows
Of 1,002 past one-year holding periods for Microsoft, 69% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $113. The worst year on record was -35.9% and the best was +71%. It scores 32/100 on our risk scale, which we call low — that is relative to the other assets on this site, not a judgement that it is safe.
If you had put $100 in — every past year
1,002 periods · from 1,254 days of pricesEach bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.
Risk score
Higher means more can go wrong. This is not advice to buy or sell. Only one factor could be measured for this asset, so read the number as that factor alone. A low score does not mean safe — this page's own worst year is the better guide to that.
What the chart says today
We calculate these on our own server from 1,254 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.
Have these signals actually worked on Microsoft?
tested on its own historyMost sites show you a signal. We also show you how often it was right — including when it was wrong. A rate near 50% means the signal told you nothing on this asset.
How Microsoft compares
$100 · one year · same maths| Stock | Bad year | Typical | Good year | Ended in profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft (this page) | $79 | $113 | $148 | 69% |
| Gold (GLD) | $101 | $124 | $152 | 91% |
| NVIDIA | $86 | $162 | $325 | 87% |
| Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) | $85 | $124 | $141 | 84% |
| Apple | $94 | $116 | $139 | 83% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | $90 | $116 | $129 | 83% |
| Palantir | $59 | $208 | $493 | 79% |
Showing 6 of 14. The full table, other holding periods and cross-market sorting are Pro features.
One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 1,002 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. Dividends are not included, so a share paying a steady dividend did better than the figure here shows. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.
