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Buzdy › Stocks › Amazon
AMZN

Amazon — what the record actually shows

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET · Retail
$258.63
The bottom line

Of 1,003 past one-year holding periods for Amazon, 76% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $116. The worst year on record was -52.1% and the best was +93.4%. It scores 34/100 on our risk scale, which we call low — that is relative to the other assets on this site, not a judgement that it is safe.

Market cap$2.79TNASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET
History used1,255trading days
Where today sits 70% of 252-day range

If you had put $100 in — every past year

1,003 periods
76% of one-year holding periods ended in profit. Every trading day is a starting point; we count what the next year did. This is history, not a forecast.
Bad year$65-34.6% · 1 in 10 worse
Typical$116+15.6% · median
Good year$162+61.5% · 1 in 10 better
10 -60%
48 -50%
74 -40%
38 -30%
14 -20%
56 -10%
148 0%
175 10%
85 20%
71 30%
105 40%
74 50%
32 60%
39 70%
29 80%
5 90%

Each bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.

Risk score

34
low on our scale
out of 100 · 1 factor
Volatility 34

Higher means more can go wrong. This is not advice to buy or sell. Only one factor could be measured for this asset, so read the number as that factor alone. A low score does not mean safe — this page's own worst year is the better guide to that.

What the chart says today

RSI 1449.7 NEUTRAL vs upper band-12.2% MACDFALLING Volume0.64× 30-DAY AVG 200-day trendABOVE

We calculate these on our own server from 1,255 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.

Have these signals actually worked on Amazon?

tested on its own history
RSI > 70 → price lower
Barely better than a coin flip on this asset.
49%
51 times
RSI < 30 → price higher
Held up 71% of the time over 14 days.
71%
38 times
Above upper Bollinger → price lower
Barely better than a coin flip on this asset.
54%
84 times
Volume 2x average → move over 10%
It went the other way 79% of the time. Treat this signal as unreliable here.
21%
48 times

Most sites show you a signal. We also show you how often it was right — including when it was wrong. A rate near 50% means the signal told you nothing on this asset.

How Amazon compares

$100 · one year · same maths
Stock Bad year Typical Good year Ended in profit
Amazon (this page) $65 $116 $162 76%
Gold (GLD) $100 $123 $152 89%
NVIDIA $74 $162 $325 86%
Apple $94 $116 $138 83%
S&P 500 (SPY) $89 $116 $129 82%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) $81 $124 $141 82%
Palantir $43 $208 $493 78%

Showing 6 of 14. The full table, other holding periods and cross-market sorting are Pro features.

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What this page is, and is not. Every figure here is either a fact as of today or a count of what has already happened to Amazon. Nothing on this page is a prediction, and none of it is advice to buy or sell. Past behaviour is not a promise about the future@if($class === 'crypto') — that is especially true in crypto, where an asset can behave nothing like its own record@endif.

One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 1,003 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. Dividends are not included, so a share paying a steady dividend did better than the figure here shows. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.