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BuzdyStocksAlphabet
Alphabet logo

Alphabet — what the record actually shows

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET · Media
$332.60
The bottom line

Of 1,002 past one-year holding periods for Alphabet, 77% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $134. The worst year on record was -43.1% and the best was +164.8%. It scores 21/100 on our risk scale, which we call low — that is relative to the other assets on this site, not a judgement that it is safe.

Market cap$4.07TNASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET
History used1,254trading days
Where today sits 58% of 252-day range

If you had put $100 in — every past year

1,002 periods · from 1,254 days of prices
77% of one-year holding periods ended in profit. Every trading day is a starting point; we count what the next year did. This is history, not a forecast.
Bad year$72-28.3% · 1 in 10 worse
Typical$134+33.5% · median
Good year$182+81.5% · 1 in 10 better
10 -50%
64 -40%
72 -30%
13 -20%
67 -10%
64 0%
78 10%
108 20%
95 30%
113 40%
99 50%
80 60%
32 70%
28 80%
13 90%
22 100%
18 110%
9 120%
7 130%
5 140%
5 150%+

Each bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.

Risk score

21
low on our scale
out of 100 · 1 factor
Volatility 21

Higher means more can go wrong. This is not advice to buy or sell. Only one factor could be measured for this asset, so read the number as that factor alone. A low score does not mean safe — this page's own worst year is the better guide to that.

What the chart says today

RSI 1441.3 NEUTRAL vs upper band-5.3% MACDFALLING Volume1.29× 30-DAY AVG 200-day trendABOVE

We calculate these on our own server from 1,254 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.

Have these signals actually worked on Alphabet?

tested on its own history
RSI > 70 → price lower
Barely better than a coin flip on this asset.
47%
105 times
RSI < 30 → price higher
Held up 82% of the time over 14 days.
82%
22 times
Above upper Bollinger → price lower
It went the other way 58% of the time. Treat this signal as unreliable here.
42%
79 times
Volume 2x average → move over 10%
It went the other way 84% of the time. Treat this signal as unreliable here.
16%
44 times

Most sites show you a signal. We also show you how often it was right — including when it was wrong. A rate near 50% means the signal told you nothing on this asset.

How Alphabet compares

$100 · one year · same maths
Stock Bad year Typical Good year Ended in profit
Alphabet (this page) $72 $134 $182 77%
Gold (GLD) $101 $124 $152 91%
NVIDIA $86 $162 $325 87%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) $85 $124 $141 84%
Apple $94 $116 $139 83%
S&P 500 (SPY) $90 $117 $129 83%
Palantir $60 $208 $493 79%

Showing 6 of 14. The full table, other holding periods and cross-market sorting are Pro features.

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What this page is, and is not. Every figure here is either a fact as of today or a count of what has already happened to Alphabet. Nothing on this page is a prediction, and none of it is advice to buy or sell. Past behaviour is not a promise about the future.

One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 1,002 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. Dividends are not included, so a share paying a steady dividend did better than the figure here shows. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.