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Buzdy › Forex › Euro vs US Dollar
EUR/USD

Euro vs US Dollar — what the record actually shows

Currency pair
1.1678
Read this first

A currency pair is not an investment in the way a share or a coin is. A high figure below does not mean this was a good thing to buy — it means the second currency lost value against the first, year after year. That matters if you are sending money home or deciding which currency to hold savings in. It is not a return.

The bottom line

Of 1,049 past one-year holding periods for Euro vs US Dollar, 62% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $102. The worst year on record was -17% and the best was +16.4%.

Where today sits 49% of 252-day range

If you had put $100 in — every past year

1,049 periods
62% of one-year holding periods ended in profit. Every trading day is a starting point; we count what the next year did. This is history, not a forecast.
Bad year$94-6.1% · 1 in 10 worse
Typical$102+1.7% · median
Good year$109+9% · 1 in 10 better
67 -20%
327 -10%
582 0%
73 10%

Each bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.

What the chart says today

RSI 1470.6 OVERBOUGHT vs upper band-0.2% MACDRISING 200-day trendABOVE

We calculate these on our own server from 1,301 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.

Have these signals actually worked on Euro vs US Dollar?

tested on its own history
RSI > 70 → price lower
Held up 85% of the time over 14 days.
85%
40 times
RSI < 30 → price higher
Held up 67% of the time over 14 days.
67%
54 times
Above upper Bollinger → price lower
Barely better than a coin flip on this asset.
59%
76 times

Most sites show you a signal. We also show you how often it was right — including when it was wrong. A rate near 50% means the signal told you nothing on this asset.

How Euro vs US Dollar compares

$100 · one year · same maths
Pair Bad year Typical Good year Ended in profit
Euro vs US Dollar (this page) $94 $102 $109 62%
US Dollar vs Indian Rupee $101 $104 $110 100%
US Dollar vs Bangladeshi Taka $101 $108 $121 100%
US Dollar vs Turkish Lira $117 $123 $165 100%
US Dollar vs Egyptian Pound $98 $126 $165 85%
US Dollar vs Japanese Yen $98 $106 $116 82%
US Dollar vs Philippine Peso $98 $103 $110 76%

Showing 6 of 11. The full table, other holding periods and cross-market sorting are Pro features.

Everything above stays free
Pro adds the parts that take work rather than reading: all holding periods, the full comparison table across crypto and stocks, filtering by win rate and risk, and unlimited questions to the assistant.
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What this page is, and is not. Every figure here is either a fact as of today or a count of what has already happened to Euro vs US Dollar. Nothing on this page is a prediction, and none of it is advice to buy or sell. Past behaviour is not a promise about the future@if($class === 'crypto') — that is especially true in crypto, where an asset can behave nothing like its own record@endif.

One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 1,049 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.