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Buzdy › Forex › US Dollar vs Indian Rupee

USD to INR — US Dollar vs Indian Rupee

Currency pair
96.3704 INR
per 1 USD

What US Dollar vs Indian Rupee actually is

This is an exchange rate between two currencies, not a thing you buy and hold — it tells you what your money is worth in the other currency.

US Dollar vs Indian Rupee price chart

daily · live

Chart by TradingView. Every figure on this page is calculated on our own server from daily prices, not read off this chart.

Read this first

A currency pair is not an investment in the way a share or a coin is. A high figure below does not mean this was a good thing to buy — it means the second currency lost value against the first, year after year. That matters if you are sending money home or deciding which currency to hold savings in. It is not a return.

The bottom line

Of 1,047 past one-year holding periods for US Dollar vs Indian Rupee, over 99% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $104. The worst year on record was -1.3% and the best was +13.1%.

Where US Dollar vs Indian Rupee stands right now

plain English
  • US Dollar vs Indian Rupee is up 0.33% over the past week, up 2.05% over a month and up 8.62% over a year.
  • It is trading ABOVE its 200-day average, which is the simplest definition of a long-term uptrend.
  • Momentum is neutral (RSI 59.5): no rush in either direction.
  • Against its own recent range it sits at 84% — the more expensive half.

This describes what has already happened. It is not a forecast, and it is not advice.

What moves US Dollar vs Indian Rupee

the short list

Read each row as “when this rises”. These are tendencies that hold most of the time, not rules that hold every time — the measured correlations further down this page will sometimes disagree with them, and when they do, the measurement is the newer fact.

The interest-rate gap
A currency pair is a comparison. Money flows to whichever side pays more, so the gap between the two central banks' rates matters more than either rate on its own.
↑
usually up
Inflation data (CPI)
Higher inflation points to higher rates, which usually strengthens that currency. This is the scheduled release most likely to move a pair sharply.
↑
usually up
Jobs data (non-farm payrolls)
Usually the first Friday of the month. A strong US labour market usually strengthens the dollar against everything else.
↑
usually up
Central bank meetings
The decision itself matters less than the language about what comes next.
↑
usually up

When not to trade

scheduled events

Nobody can tell you when to enter. What can be stated exactly is when scheduled US data lands, because those release times are fixed. Around them, price can move further in one minute than it does in a normal day, and a stop can be filled well past where it was placed.

US economic data
16:30
Dubai time · inflation (CPI), jobs, retail sales
Fed rate decision
22:00
Dubai time · eight times a year
Next jobs report
Fri 6 Nov
in 28 days · usually the first Friday
The one rule worth keeping: no new position from 30 minutes before a high-impact release until an hour after it. If a position is already open, make sure it has a stop. The calendar does not tell you what to buy — it tells you when to stand aside.

CPI and Fed meeting dates are set by the BLS and the Federal Reserve and move from month to month, so confirm the exact day on an economic calendar before you rely on it. Times above are converted automatically and stay correct through US daylight-saving changes. This is general information, not financial advice.

What US Dollar vs Indian Rupee moves with

measured over 90 days

Nothing moves alone. These are the relationships we can actually measure from our own daily prices — −1 means they move in exact opposite directions, 0 means unrelated, +1 means they move together. A relationship holding today can break tomorrow.

Crude oil — barely related right now
Energy is the biggest single input to inflation, and inflation is one of the main reasons people buy gold.
+0.24
correlation
The US dollar — barely related right now
Gold, oil and most commodities are priced in dollars. When the dollar weakens, the same ounce costs more dollars — so the price rises without anything changing about the metal itself.
-0.07
correlation
The S&P 500 (US shares) — barely related right now
When shares are rising people feel safe and reach for risk; when they fall, money looks for somewhere to hide. That is why the relationship between shares and a safe-haven asset is worth watching.
+0.06
correlation
Bitcoin — barely related right now
Often called "digital gold". Whether the two actually move together is an argument — so here is the measurement rather than the opinion.
0
correlation

Latest news

this market

Headlines come from public news feeds. We do not claim any of them caused a price move — that link is far easier to assert than to prove.

Learn to read US Dollar vs Indian Rupee — step by step

basic → advanced

Work down in order. Each step explains one idea, then shows you what it says about US Dollar vs Indian Rupee today. No jargon is used before it is explained.

  1. 1
    What you are actually looking at

    This is an exchange rate between two currencies, not a thing you buy and hold — it tells you what your money is worth in the other currency.

    Right now: 96.3704.

  2. 2
    How to read a candle

    Each candle on the chart is one day. The thick body runs from where the day opened to where it closed; the thin wicks above and below show the highest and lowest prices reached during that day. Green means it closed higher than it opened, red means lower. A long wick means a price was reached and rejected — someone pushed, and the other side pushed back harder.

    Found on US Dollar vs Indian Rupee recently:

    Doji on 6 Oct 2026 (the latest bar) — Open and close almost identical — buyers and sellers finished the day level. Indecision. On this asset it has appeared 1280 times, and 5 days later the price was higher 59% of the time versus 60% on any random day — so on this asset it told you nothing.

  3. 3
    Is it in an uptrend or a downtrend?

    The simplest honest answer is the 200-day average — the average closing price of the last 200 days. Above it, the last year of buyers are mostly in profit and the trend is up. Below it, they are not. It is slow on purpose: it ignores noise.

    US Dollar vs Indian Rupee is trading ABOVE its 200-day average.

  4. 4
    Has it moved too far, too fast?

    RSI scores the speed of recent moves from 0 to 100. Above 70 is called "overbought" — it has risen fast. Below 30 is "oversold". Neither is a signal to act: things that are rising fast often keep rising. It is a description, not an instruction.

    Today: RSI 59.5 (neutral).

  5. 5
    Is it cheap or expensive compared with itself?

    Take the highest and lowest price of the last few months and see where today sits between them. Near the bottom is "cheap" only relative to that range — a falling asset makes new lows all the way down. It answers "where am I", not "what next".

    Today sits at 94% of its 252-day range.

  6. 6
    Does any of this actually work here?

    This is the step almost every site skips. A signal is only useful if it beats what happens anyway. If an asset rose in 60% of all two-week periods, a signal that is "right 60% of the time" told you precisely nothing. We test every signal on this asset's own history and print the comparison — including when the answer is embarrassing.

    See "Have these signals actually worked" further down this page.

  7. 7
    What could move it that is not on the chart

    Price reacts to the world: interest rates, inflation, wars, regulation, company results. A chart records what already happened; it cannot tell you what is scheduled next week.

    See "What to watch" above for the forces that matter for this asset.

  8. 8
    Advanced: market structure

    Once the basics are comfortable, traders read the chart as a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (or the reverse), and watch where price broke that sequence. That is what our Smart Money view measures — structure breaks, the fair-value midpoint, and levels where large orders were likely filled. It is a way of reading a chart, not a law.

  9. 9
    The only rule that always applies

    Nothing above predicts anything. Size any position so that being completely wrong is survivable, and never put in money you cannot afford to lose. Everything on this page is a record of the past, published to help you think — not advice to buy or sell.

Where today sits 94% of 252-day range

If you had put $100 in — every past year

1,047 periods · from 1,299 days of prices
over 99% of one-year holding periods ended in profit. Every trading day is a starting point; we count what the next year did. This is history, not a forecast.
Bad year$101+0.9% · 1 in 10 worse
Typical$104+4.2% · median
Good year$110+10.3% · 1 in 10 better
1 -10%
931 0%
115 10%

Each bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.

What the chart says today

RSI 1459.5 NEUTRAL vs upper band-0.2% MACDRISING 200-day trendABOVE

We calculate these on our own server from 1,299 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.

Have these signals actually worked on US Dollar vs Indian Rupee?

tested on its own history
RSI > 70 → price lower
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 38% of the time, so this signal is 11 points better than no signal at all.
49%
99 times
RSI < 30 → price higher
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 62% of the time, so this signal is 38 points better than no signal at all. Only 10 occurrences — too few to rely on.
100%
10 times
Above upper Bollinger → price lower
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 38% of the time, so this signal is only 6 points better — effectively no edge.
44%
101 times

Most sites show you a signal. We also show how often it was right, how often that would have happened anyway, and how many times it has ever occurred. A signal only tells you something when it beats the base rate by a clear margin — matching it means it told you nothing.

Smart Money view of US Dollar vs Indian Rupee

market structure · 90-day range

Traders who follow “Smart Money Concepts” read a chart as a record of where big orders were filled rather than as a set of indicators. Every level below is measured from our own daily candles, and the rule that produced it is written next to it — nothing here is drawn by eye.

StructureBULLISH ZonePREMIUM · 84% Last breakBOS UP
Premium or discount — is it expensive right now?
Over the last 90 days US Dollar vs Indian Rupee has traded between 93.5461 and 96.9019. Halfway — what SMC calls equilibrium, or fair value — is 95.224. Today's 96.3704 sits at 84% of that range, which is the premium half: expensive relative to the recent range.
84%
of range
Break of Structure (BOS) — upward
On 6 Oct 2026 the price closed above 96.3558, the last swing high. That continued the direction already in place, which SMC calls a break of structure — the trend doing what it was already doing.
BOS
6 Oct 2026
Liquidity sweep above a prior high
On 6 Oct 2026 the price pushed through 96.6658 during the day but closed back below it. In plain words: the level was touched, the orders sitting there were filled, and the move did not hold. Traders call this a stop hunt. It is only ever visible after the fact.
96.6658
level swept
Bullish order block
The last down candle before that break was on 1 Oct 2026, covering 95.9897–96.3329. SMC treats that band as where large orders were likely filled, and watches whether price reacts if it returns there. Treat it as a zone of interest, not a prediction.
95.9897
to 96.3329
Has the cheap half actually led anywhere on US Dollar vs Indian Rupee?
We tested the idea on this asset's own history: every past day where it sat in the discount half, checked 14 days later. From discount, price was higher 85% of the time (92 occasions). From premium, 61% (876 occasions). On any random day it was higher 62% of the time — that is the number both must beat to mean anything. Waiting for the cheap half did beat it here, by 23 points.
85%
from discount

Smart Money Concepts is a way of reading a chart, not a law of markets, and it has no academic backing. We show it because a lot of people trade by it and deserve to see it measured rather than preached. None of this is advice, and levels are computed from daily candles only.

How US Dollar vs Indian Rupee compares

$100 · one year · same maths
Pair Bad year Typical Good year Ended in profit
US Dollar vs Indian Rupee (this page) $101 $104 $110 100%
US Dollar vs Turkish Lira $117 $122 $162 100%
US Dollar vs Bangladeshi Taka $101 $108 $121 97%
US Dollar vs Egyptian Pound $98 $126 $165 85%
US Dollar vs Japanese Yen $98 $106 $115 81%
US Dollar vs Philippine Peso $98 $103 $109 76%
British Pound vs US Dollar $92 $102 $108 68%

Showing 6 of 11. The full table, other holding periods and cross-market sorting are Pro features.

Everything above stays free
Pro adds the parts that take work rather than reading: all holding periods, the full comparison table across crypto and stocks, filtering by win rate and risk, and unlimited questions to the assistant.
See Pro

Actually sending money?

The rate above is the mid-market rate — the one banks quote each other. What lands in the other account depends on who you send with, and the gap is usually larger than a day's move.

Common questions about US Dollar vs Indian Rupee

answered from this page's figures

What is US Dollar vs Indian Rupee?

This is an exchange rate between two currencies, not a thing you buy and hold — it tells you what your money is worth in the other currency.

Has US Dollar vs Indian Rupee been profitable to hold for a year?

Across 1,047 past one-year holding periods, over 99% ended in profit. The typical one-year outcome was +4.2%, the worst on record was -1.3% and the best was +13.1%. This is a record of what already happened, not a forecast.

Is US Dollar vs Indian Rupee expensive or cheap right now?

Compared with its own recent history, US Dollar vs Indian Rupee sits at 94% of its 252-day range. Near the bottom is only "cheap" relative to that range — a falling asset makes new lows all the way down. It answers where it is, not what happens next.

Does RSI > 70 work on US Dollar vs Indian Rupee?

We tested it on US Dollar vs Indian Rupee's own history. After RSI > 70, price lower happened 49% of the time within 14 days, across 99 occurrences. On any random day it happened 38% of the time, so on this asset the signal has genuinely meant something.

Does RSI < 30 work on US Dollar vs Indian Rupee?

We tested it on US Dollar vs Indian Rupee's own history. After RSI < 30, price higher happened 100% of the time within 14 days, across 10 occurrences. On any random day it happened 62% of the time, so on this asset the signal has genuinely meant something.

Ask about US Dollar vs Indian Rupee

plain words · free

Answers are built from the same figures shown on this page. No question is too basic.

Not financial advice. We explain the figures; the decision is always yours.

What this page is, and is not. Every figure here is either a fact as of today or a count of what has already happened to US Dollar vs Indian Rupee. Nothing on this page is a prediction, and none of it is advice to buy or sell. Past behaviour is not a promise about the future.

One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 1,047 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.