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Buzdy › Commodities › Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)
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Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) — what the record actually shows

Stock
$19.20

What Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) actually is

This is a raw material traded on world markets; its price moves with real-world supply and demand.

Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) price chart

daily · live

Chart by TradingView. Every figure on this page is calculated on our own server from daily prices, not read off this chart.

The bottom line

Of 1,005 past one-year holding periods for Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb), 38% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $90. The worst year on record was -36.5% and the best was +54.1%. It scores 45/100 on our risk scale, which we call medium — that is relative to the other assets on this site, not a judgement that it is safe.

Where Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) stands right now

plain English
  • Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) is down 6.43% over the past week, up 9.71% over a month and up 32.78% over a year.
  • It is trading ABOVE its 200-day average, which is the simplest definition of a long-term uptrend.
  • Momentum is neutral (RSI 45.3): no rush in either direction.
  • Against its own recent range it sits at 74% — the more expensive half.

This describes what has already happened. It is not a forecast, and it is not advice.

What moves Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)

the short list

Read each row as “when this rises”. These are tendencies that hold most of the time, not rules that hold every time — the measured correlations further down this page will sometimes disagree with them, and when they do, the measurement is the newer fact.

Fed interest rates
The biggest single driver. A precious metal pays no interest, so when rates rise, holding cash or bonds pays more and the metal looks worse by comparison. Rate rises - or just talk of them - usually push it down.
↓
usually down
The US dollar
Precious metals are priced in dollars. A stronger dollar usually means a lower price even when nothing about the metal itself has changed. The two normally move in opposite directions.
↓
usually down
Inflation data (CPI)
CPI is the monthly inflation number. A hotter-than-expected reading points to higher rates, which usually knocks the metal down. A softer reading usually lifts it. This is the release most likely to move it in a single minute.
↓
usually down
Jobs data (non-farm payrolls)
Released monthly, usually the first Friday. Strong employment gives the Fed room to keep rates high, which usually weighs on the metal; weak employment usually lifts it.
↓
usually down
US 10-year bond yields
Yields are what you earn for holding government debt. When they rise, the cost of holding an asset that pays nothing goes up, and the metal usually falls.
↓
usually down
War, crisis and market panic
The one driver that pushes the other way. When people are frightened they buy precious metals, which is why one can rise on a day when the rate picture says it should not.
↑
usually up
Central bank and ETF buying
Slow and steady rather than sudden. It rarely explains a single day, but sustained official buying is what sets the direction over a year.
↑
usually up

When not to trade

scheduled events

Nobody can tell you when to enter. What can be stated exactly is when scheduled US data lands, because those release times are fixed. Around them, price can move further in one minute than it does in a normal day, and a stop can be filled well past where it was placed.

US economic data
16:30
Dubai time · inflation (CPI), jobs, retail sales
Fed rate decision
22:00
Dubai time · eight times a year
Next jobs report
Fri 6 Nov
in 8 days · usually the first Friday
The one rule worth keeping: no new position from 30 minutes before a high-impact release until an hour after it. If a position is already open, make sure it has a stop. The calendar does not tell you what to buy — it tells you when to stand aside.

CPI and Fed meeting dates are set by the BLS and the Federal Reserve and move from month to month, so confirm the exact day on an economic calendar before you rely on it. Times above are converted automatically and stay correct through US daylight-saving changes. This is general information, not financial advice.

What Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) moves with

measured over 90 days

Nothing moves alone. These are the relationships we can actually measure from our own daily prices — −1 means they move in exact opposite directions, 0 means unrelated, +1 means they move together. A relationship holding today can break tomorrow.

Bitcoin — barely related right now
Often called "digital gold". Whether the two actually move together is an argument — so here is the measurement rather than the opinion.
-0.12
correlation
The US dollar — barely related right now
Gold, oil and most commodities are priced in dollars. When the dollar weakens, the same ounce costs more dollars — so the price rises without anything changing about the metal itself.
+0.07
correlation
The S&P 500 (US shares) — barely related right now
When shares are rising people feel safe and reach for risk; when they fall, money looks for somewhere to hide. That is why the relationship between shares and a safe-haven asset is worth watching.
+0.06
correlation
Crude oil — barely related right now
Energy is the biggest single input to inflation, and inflation is one of the main reasons people buy gold.
-0.03
correlation

What to watch — what could push it up or down

context, not a measurement
Interest rates and the Fed
Gold pays you nothing to hold it. When savings accounts and government bonds pay high interest, holding gold costs you that income, and gold usually struggles. When rates fall, that cost disappears and gold usually does better. Rate decisions are the single biggest scheduled event for gold.
Inflation
Gold is bought as protection against money losing value. High or rising inflation tends to increase demand — though the link is far looser year to year than people assume.
Central banks buying
Country central banks have been large net buyers of gold in recent years. This is steady, price-insensitive demand and it does not show up in any chart until after the fact.
War, crisis and elections
Gold is the classic panic asset. Sudden jumps very often trace to a geopolitical event rather than anything financial.
The dollar
Priced in dollars worldwide, so dollar strength and gold usually pull in opposite directions.

These are the forces that historically matter for this kind of asset. We are not claiming any of them is acting today — that is a judgement no honest site can make from a price chart alone.

Latest news

this market

Headlines come from public news feeds. We do not claim any of them caused a price move — that link is far easier to assert than to prove.

Learn to read Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) — step by step

basic → advanced

Work down in order. Each step explains one idea, then shows you what it says about Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) today. No jargon is used before it is explained.

  1. 1
    What you are actually looking at

    This is a raw material traded on world markets; its price moves with real-world supply and demand.

    Right now: $19.20.

  2. 2
    How to read a candle

    Each candle on the chart is one day. The thick body runs from where the day opened to where it closed; the thin wicks above and below show the highest and lowest prices reached during that day. Green means it closed higher than it opened, red means lower. A long wick means a price was reached and rejected — someone pushed, and the other side pushed back harder.

    Found on Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) recently:

    Doji on 21 Oct 2026 — Open and close almost identical — buyers and sellers finished the day level. Indecision. On this asset it has appeared 126 times, and 5 days later the price was higher 42% of the time versus 48% on any random day — so on this asset it told you nothing.

    Hanging man on 16 Oct 2026 — Same shape as a hammer but closed down — the recovery was not quite complete. On this asset it has appeared 13 times, and 5 days later the price was higher 62% of the time versus 48% on any random day — so here it has actually meant something.

    Bullish engulfing on 15 Oct 2026 — The up-candle completely covers the previous down-candle — a one-day reversal of control. On this asset it has appeared 73 times, and 5 days later the price was higher 38% of the time versus 48% on any random day — so here it has meant the opposite of the textbook.

  3. 3
    Is it in an uptrend or a downtrend?

    The simplest honest answer is the 200-day average — the average closing price of the last 200 days. Above it, the last year of buyers are mostly in profit and the trend is up. Below it, they are not. It is slow on purpose: it ignores noise.

    Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) is trading ABOVE its 200-day average.

  4. 4
    Has it moved too far, too fast?

    RSI scores the speed of recent moves from 0 to 100. Above 70 is called "overbought" — it has risen fast. Below 30 is "oversold". Neither is a signal to act: things that are rising fast often keep rising. It is a description, not an instruction.

    Today: RSI 45.3 (neutral).

  5. 5
    Is it cheap or expensive compared with itself?

    Take the highest and lowest price of the last few months and see where today sits between them. Near the bottom is "cheap" only relative to that range — a falling asset makes new lows all the way down. It answers "where am I", not "what next".

    Today sits at 75% of its 252-day range.

  6. 6
    Does any of this actually work here?

    This is the step almost every site skips. A signal is only useful if it beats what happens anyway. If an asset rose in 60% of all two-week periods, a signal that is "right 60% of the time" told you precisely nothing. We test every signal on this asset's own history and print the comparison — including when the answer is embarrassing.

    See "Have these signals actually worked" further down this page.

  7. 7
    What could move it that is not on the chart

    Price reacts to the world: interest rates, inflation, wars, regulation, company results. A chart records what already happened; it cannot tell you what is scheduled next week.

    See "What to watch" above for the forces that matter for this asset.

  8. 8
    Advanced: market structure

    Once the basics are comfortable, traders read the chart as a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (or the reverse), and watch where price broke that sequence. That is what our Smart Money view measures — structure breaks, the fair-value midpoint, and levels where large orders were likely filled. It is a way of reading a chart, not a law.

  9. 9
    The only rule that always applies

    Nothing above predicts anything. Size any position so that being completely wrong is survivable, and never put in money you cannot afford to lose. Everything on this page is a record of the past, published to help you think — not advice to buy or sell.

Where today sits 75% of 252-day range

If you had put $100 in — every past year

1,005 periods · from 1,257 days of prices
38% of one-year holding periods ended in profit. Every trading day is a starting point; we count what the next year did. This is history, not a forecast.
Bad year$73-27.1% · 1 in 10 worse
Typical$90-10% · median
Good year$134+33.6% · 1 in 10 better
51 -40%
211 -30%
239 -20%
117 -10%
109 0%
91 10%
51 20%
75 30%
52 40%
9 50%

Each bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.

Risk score

45
medium on our scale
out of 100 · 2 factors
Volatility 24
Track record 62

Higher means more can go wrong. This is not advice to buy or sell. Built from 2 factors — volatility, track record — and anything we cannot measure is left out rather than guessed. Compare it with care: coins are scored on up to six factors including supply, fall from peak, size and liquidity, so a low number here is a thinner claim than the same number on a coin. A low score does not mean safe — this page's own worst year is the better guide to that.

What the chart says today

RSI 1445.3 NEUTRAL vs upper band-12.5% MACDFALLING Volume2.59× 30-DAY AVG 200-day trendABOVE

We calculate these on our own server from 1,257 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.

Have these signals actually worked on Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)?

tested on its own history
RSI > 70 → price lower
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 51% of the time, so this signal is only 1 point better — effectively no edge.
52%
61 times
RSI < 30 → price higher
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 49% of the time, so this signal is only 3 points better — effectively no edge.
52%
31 times
Above upper Bollinger → price lower
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 51% of the time, so this signal is only 4 points better — effectively no edge.
55%
78 times
Volume 2x average → move over 10%
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 13% of the time, so this signal is 11 points better than no signal at all.
24%
33 times

Most sites show you a signal. We also show how often it was right, how often that would have happened anyway, and how many times it has ever occurred. A signal only tells you something when it beats the base rate by a clear margin — matching it means it told you nothing.

Smart Money view of Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)

market structure · 90-day range

Traders who follow “Smart Money Concepts” read a chart as a record of where big orders were filled rather than as a set of indicators. Every level below is measured from our own daily candles, and the rule that produced it is written next to it — nothing here is drawn by eye.

StructureBEARISH ZonePREMIUM · 74% Last breakCHoCH DOWN
Premium or discount — is it expensive right now?
Over the last 90 days Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) has traded between 13.26 and 21.29. Halfway — what SMC calls equilibrium, or fair value — is 17.275. Today's 19.2 sits at 74% of that range, which is the premium half: expensive relative to the recent range.
74%
of range
Change of Character (CHoCH) — downward
On 26 Oct 2026 the price closed below 20, the last swing low. That was the first break against the prevailing direction, which is what SMC calls a change of character — the earliest hint that a trend may be turning. It is a hint, not a confirmation.
CHoCH
26 Oct 2026
Liquidity sweep above a prior high
On 14 Oct 2026 the price pushed through 21.24 during the day but closed back below it. In plain words: the level was touched, the orders sitting there were filled, and the move did not hold. Traders call this a stop hunt. It is only ever visible after the fact.
21.24
level swept
Bearish order block
The last up candle before that break was on 23 Oct 2026, covering 20.02–20.51. SMC treats that band as where large orders were likely filled, and watches whether price reacts if it returns there. Treat it as a zone of interest, not a prediction.
20.02
to 20.51
Fair value gap (unfilled)
A gap is three days where the first day's range and the third day's range never overlap — the price moved so fast it skipped a band of prices. SMC expects those bands to be revisited. Nearest gap below: 18.01–18.93 (from 1 Oct 2026). Nearest gap above: 19.42–20.02 (from 26 Oct 2026).
GAP
unfilled
Has the cheap half actually led anywhere on Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)?
We tested the idea on this asset's own history: every past day where it sat in the discount half, checked 14 days later. From discount, price was higher 58% of the time (551 occasions). From premium, 40% (390 occasions). On any random day it was higher 49% of the time — that is the number both must beat to mean anything. Waiting for the cheap half did beat it here, by 9 points.
58%
from discount

Smart Money Concepts is a way of reading a chart, not a law of markets, and it has no academic backing. We show it because a lot of people trade by it and deserve to see it measured rather than preached. None of this is advice, and levels are computed from daily candles only.

How Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) compares

$100 · one year · same maths
Commodity Bad year Typical Good year Ended in profit
Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) (this page) $73 $90 $134 38%
Gold Futures (COMEX) $103 $124 $151 94%
Silver Futures (COMEX) $99 $125 $217 90%
Gold Spot (per ounce) $100 $128 $143 89%
Copper Futures (COMEX, $/lb) $89 $110 $135 74%
Platinum Futures (NYMEX) $92 $107 $193 70%
Aluminium Futures (COMEX, $/tonne) $83 $106 $136 60%

Showing 6 of 17. The full table, other holding periods and cross-market sorting are Pro features.

Everything above stays free
Pro adds the parts that take work rather than reading: all holding periods, the full comparison table across crypto and stocks, filtering by win rate and risk, and unlimited questions to the assistant.
See Pro

Common questions about Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)

answered from this page's figures

What is Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)?

This is a raw material traded on world markets; its price moves with real-world supply and demand.

Has Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) been profitable to hold for a year?

Across 1,005 past one-year holding periods, 38% ended in profit. The typical one-year outcome was -10%, the worst on record was -36.5% and the best was +54.1%. In money terms $100 typically became $90. This is a record of what already happened, not a forecast.

If I had invested $100 in Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb), what would have happened?

Taking every past starting day and holding for a year, the typical result turned $100 into $90. A bad year (the worst tenth) left $73 and a good year (the best tenth) $134.

How risky is Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)?

Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) scores 45 out of 100 on our risk scale, which we call medium. That is relative to the other assets on this site, not a judgement that it is safe. The heaviest single factor is track record. Higher means more can go wrong. Nothing here is advice to buy or sell.

Is Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) expensive or cheap right now?

Compared with its own recent history, Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) sits at 75% of its 252-day range. Near the bottom is only "cheap" relative to that range — a falling asset makes new lows all the way down. It answers where it is, not what happens next.

Does RSI > 70 work on Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)?

We tested it on Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)'s own history. After RSI > 70, price lower happened 52% of the time within 14 days, across 61 occurrences. On any random day it happened 51% of the time, so on this asset the signal told you nothing.

Does RSI < 30 work on Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)?

We tested it on Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)'s own history. After RSI < 30, price higher happened 52% of the time within 14 days, across 31 occurrences. On any random day it happened 49% of the time, so on this asset the signal told you nothing.

What moves the price of Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)?

The forces that historically matter most are: Interest rates and the Fed, Inflation, Central banks buying, War, crisis and elections. Measured over the last 90 days, Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb) barely related right now bitcoin (correlation -0.12).

Ask about Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb)

plain words · free

Answers are built from the same figures shown on this page. No question is too basic.

Not financial advice. We explain the figures; the decision is always yours.

What this page is, and is not. Every figure here is either a fact as of today or a count of what has already happened to Sugar No.11 Futures (ICE, cents/lb). Nothing on this page is a prediction, and none of it is advice to buy or sell. Past behaviour is not a promise about the future.

One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 1,005 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.