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Buzdy › Commodities › Gold Spot (per ounce)
Gold Spot (per ounce) logo

Gold Spot (per ounce) — what the record actually shows

Stock
$4,357

What Gold Spot (per ounce) actually is

This is the price of the metal itself — one troy ounce of gold, the number quoted in the news. You cannot buy "spot gold" directly; people get gold through coins and jewellery, a gold fund like GLD (about 1/10 oz per share), or gold savings accounts.

Gold Spot (per ounce) price chart

daily · live

Chart is the real spot gold price. The indicators beneath it are computed from a continuous series that tracks spot within about 0.1%, because no free feed provides spot with full daily history.

The bottom line

Of 748 past one-year holding periods for Gold Spot (per ounce), 95% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $129. The worst year on record was -9.5% and the best was +66.8%. It scores 9/100 on our risk scale, which we call low — that is relative to the other assets on this site, not a judgement that it is safe.

Where Gold Spot (per ounce) stands right now

plain English
  • Gold Spot (per ounce) is down 1.45% over the past week, down 0.53% over a month and up 19.74% over a year.
  • It is trading BELOW its 200-day average, which is the simplest definition of a long-term downtrend.
  • Momentum is neutral (RSI 45.4): no rush in either direction.
  • Against its own recent range it sits at 55% — about the middle.

This describes what has already happened. It is not a forecast, and it is not advice.

What Gold Spot (per ounce) moves with

measured over 90 days

Nothing moves alone. These are the relationships we can actually measure from our own daily prices — −1 means they move in exact opposite directions, 0 means unrelated, +1 means they move together. A relationship holding today can break tomorrow.

Bitcoin — moves strongly WITH it
Often called "digital gold". Whether the two actually move together is an argument — so here is the measurement rather than the opinion.
+0.63
correlation
The US dollar — barely related right now
Gold, oil and most commodities are priced in dollars. When the dollar weakens, the same ounce costs more dollars — so the price rises without anything changing about the metal itself.
-0.09
correlation
Crude oil — barely related right now
Energy is the biggest single input to inflation, and inflation is one of the main reasons people buy gold.
+0.06
correlation
The S&P 500 (US shares) — barely related right now
When shares are rising people feel safe and reach for risk; when they fall, money looks for somewhere to hide. That is why the relationship between shares and a safe-haven asset is worth watching.
+0.04
correlation

What to watch — what could push it up or down

context, not a measurement
Interest rates and the Fed
Gold pays you nothing to hold it. When savings accounts and government bonds pay high interest, holding gold costs you that income, and gold usually struggles. When rates fall, that cost disappears and gold usually does better. Rate decisions are the single biggest scheduled event for gold.
Inflation
Gold is bought as protection against money losing value. High or rising inflation tends to increase demand — though the link is far looser year to year than people assume.
Central banks buying
Country central banks have been large net buyers of gold in recent years. This is steady, price-insensitive demand and it does not show up in any chart until after the fact.
War, crisis and elections
Gold is the classic panic asset. Sudden jumps very often trace to a geopolitical event rather than anything financial.
The dollar
Priced in dollars worldwide, so dollar strength and gold usually pull in opposite directions.

These are the forces that historically matter for this kind of asset. We are not claiming any of them is acting today — that is a judgement no honest site can make from a price chart alone.

Latest news

this market

Headlines come from public news feeds. We do not claim any of them caused a price move — that link is far easier to assert than to prove.

Learn to read Gold Spot (per ounce) — step by step

basic → advanced

Work down in order. Each step explains one idea, then shows you what it says about Gold Spot (per ounce) today. No jargon is used before it is explained.

  1. 1
    What you are actually looking at

    This is the price of the metal itself — one troy ounce of gold, the number quoted in the news. You cannot buy "spot gold" directly; people get gold through coins and jewellery, a gold fund like GLD (about 1/10 oz per share), or gold savings accounts.

    Right now: $4,357.

  2. 2
    How to read a candle

    Each candle on the chart is one day. The thick body runs from where the day opened to where it closed; the thin wicks above and below show the highest and lowest prices reached during that day. Green means it closed higher than it opened, red means lower. A long wick means a price was reached and rejected — someone pushed, and the other side pushed back harder.

    Found on Gold Spot (per ounce) recently:

    Bullish engulfing on 13 Sep 2026 (the latest bar) — The up-candle completely covers the previous down-candle — a one-day reversal of control. On this asset it has appeared 79 times, and 5 days later the price was higher 58% of the time versus 57% on any random day — so on this asset it told you nothing.

    Bearish engulfing on 8 Sep 2026 — The down-candle completely covers the previous up-candle — control changed hands. On this asset it has appeared 70 times, and 5 days later the price was higher 61% of the time versus 57% on any random day — so on this asset it told you nothing.

    Doji on 7 Sep 2026 — Open and close almost identical — buyers and sellers finished the day level. Indecision. On this asset it has appeared 125 times, and 5 days later the price was higher 57% of the time versus 57% on any random day — so on this asset it told you nothing.

  3. 3
    Is it in an uptrend or a downtrend?

    The simplest honest answer is the 200-day average — the average closing price of the last 200 days. Above it, the last year of buyers are mostly in profit and the trend is up. Below it, they are not. It is slow on purpose: it ignores noise.

    Gold Spot (per ounce) is trading BELOW its 200-day average.

  4. 4
    Has it moved too far, too fast?

    RSI scores the speed of recent moves from 0 to 100. Above 70 is called "overbought" — it has risen fast. Below 30 is "oversold". Neither is a signal to act: things that are rising fast often keep rising. It is a description, not an instruction.

    Today: RSI 45.4 (neutral).

  5. 5
    Is it cheap or expensive compared with itself?

    Take the highest and lowest price of the last few months and see where today sits between them. Near the bottom is "cheap" only relative to that range — a falling asset makes new lows all the way down. It answers "where am I", not "what next".

    Today sits at 24% of its 252-day range.

  6. 6
    Does any of this actually work here?

    This is the step almost every site skips. A signal is only useful if it beats what happens anyway. If an asset rose in 60% of all two-week periods, a signal that is "right 60% of the time" told you precisely nothing. We test every signal on this asset's own history and print the comparison — including when the answer is embarrassing.

    See "Have these signals actually worked" further down this page.

  7. 7
    What could move it that is not on the chart

    Price reacts to the world: interest rates, inflation, wars, regulation, company results. A chart records what already happened; it cannot tell you what is scheduled next week.

    See "What to watch" above for the forces that matter for this asset.

  8. 8
    Advanced: market structure

    Once the basics are comfortable, traders read the chart as a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (or the reverse), and watch where price broke that sequence. That is what our Smart Money view measures — structure breaks, the fair-value midpoint, and levels where large orders were likely filled. It is a way of reading a chart, not a law.

  9. 9
    The only rule that always applies

    Nothing above predicts anything. Size any position so that being completely wrong is survivable, and never put in money you cannot afford to lose. Everything on this page is a record of the past, published to help you think — not advice to buy or sell.

Where today sits 24% of 252-day range

If you had put $100 in — every past year

748 periods · from 1,000 days of prices
95% of one-year holding periods ended in profit. Every trading day is a starting point; we count what the next year did. This is history, not a forecast.
Bad year$104+4.1% · 1 in 10 worse
Typical$129+29.3% · median
Good year$143+42.8% · 1 in 10 better
35 -10%
67 0%
65 10%
227 20%
230 30%
87 40%
35 50%
2 60%

Each bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.

Risk score

9
low on our scale
out of 100 · 2 factors
Volatility 13
Track record 5

Higher means more can go wrong. This is not advice to buy or sell. Built from 2 factors — volatility, track record — and anything we cannot measure is left out rather than guessed. Compare it with care: coins are scored on up to six factors including supply, fall from peak, size and liquidity, so a low number here is a thinner claim than the same number on a coin. A low score does not mean safe — this page's own worst year is the better guide to that.

What the chart says today

RSI 1445.4 NEUTRAL vs upper band-5.6% MACDFALLING Volume0.1× 30-DAY AVG 200-day trendBELOW

We calculate these on our own server from 1,000 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.

Have these signals actually worked on Gold Spot (per ounce)?

tested on its own history
RSI > 70 → price lower
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 37% of the time, so this signal is only 6 points worse — effectively no edge.
31%
163 times
RSI < 30 → price higher
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 63% of the time, so this signal is 14 points better than no signal at all. Only 13 occurrences — too few to rely on.
77%
13 times
Above upper Bollinger → price lower
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 37% of the time, so this signal is identical to the base rate — it told you nothing.
37%
97 times
Volume 2x average → move over 10%
Measured 14 days later. On any random day that happened 2% of the time, so this signal is identical to the base rate — it told you nothing.
2%
87 times

Most sites show you a signal. We also show how often it was right, how often that would have happened anyway, and how many times it has ever occurred. A signal only tells you something when it beats the base rate by a clear margin — matching it means it told you nothing.

Smart Money view of Gold Spot (per ounce)

market structure · 90-day range

Traders who follow “Smart Money Concepts” read a chart as a record of where big orders were filled rather than as a set of indicators. Every level below is measured from our own daily candles, and the rule that produced it is written next to it — nothing here is drawn by eye.

StructureBULLISH ZoneEQUILIBRIUM · 55% Last breakBOS UP
Premium or discount — is it expensive right now?
Over the last 90 days Gold Spot (per ounce) has traded between 3,944.57 and 4,689. Halfway — what SMC calls equilibrium, or fair value — is 4,316.79. Today's 4,357.02 sits at 55% of that range, which is close to equilibrium: neither cheap nor expensive.
55%
of range
Break of Structure (BOS) — upward
On 24 Aug 2026 the price closed above 4,619, the last swing high. That continued the direction already in place, which SMC calls a break of structure — the trend doing what it was already doing.
BOS
24 Aug 2026
Liquidity sweep above a prior high
On 11 Sep 2026 the price pushed through 4,373.95 during the day but closed back below it. In plain words: the level was touched, the orders sitting there were filled, and the move did not hold. Traders call this a stop hunt. It is only ever visible after the fact.
4,373.95
level swept
Bullish order block
The last down candle before that break was on 22 Aug 2026, covering 4,573–4,599.99. SMC treats that band as where large orders were likely filled, and watches whether price reacts if it returns there. Treat it as a zone of interest, not a prediction.
4,573
to 4,599.99
Fair value gap (unfilled)
A gap is three days where the first day's range and the third day's range never overlap — the price moved so fast it skipped a band of prices. SMC expects those bands to be revisited. Nearest gap below: 4,099.22–4,220.36 (from 5 Aug 2026). Nearest gap above: 4,467.1–4,560.16 (from 28 Aug 2026).
GAP
unfilled
Has the cheap half actually led anywhere on Gold Spot (per ounce)?
We tested the idea on this asset's own history: every past day where it sat in the discount half, checked 14 days later. From discount, price was higher 56% of the time (257 occasions). From premium, 65% (451 occasions). On any random day it was higher 63% of the time — that is the number both must beat to mean anything. The difference is small enough to be noise on this asset.
56%
from discount

Smart Money Concepts is a way of reading a chart, not a law of markets, and it has no academic backing. We show it because a lot of people trade by it and deserve to see it measured rather than preached. None of this is advice, and levels are computed from daily candles only.

How Gold Spot (per ounce) compares

$100 · one year · same maths
Commodity Bad year Typical Good year Ended in profit
Gold Spot (per ounce) (this page) $104 $129 $143 95%
Gold Futures (COMEX) $101 $124 $152 91%
Silver Futures (COMEX) $96 $124 $217 86%
Platinum Futures (NYMEX) $91 $107 $193 67%
Crude Oil Futures (WTI) $75 $93 $124 36%
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See Pro

Common questions about Gold Spot (per ounce)

answered from this page's figures

What is Gold Spot (per ounce)?

This is the price of the metal itself — one troy ounce of gold, the number quoted in the news. You cannot buy "spot gold" directly; people get gold through coins and jewellery, a gold fund like GLD (about 1/10 oz per share), or gold savings accounts.

Has Gold Spot (per ounce) been profitable to hold for a year?

Across 748 past one-year holding periods, 95% ended in profit. The typical one-year outcome was +29.3%, the worst on record was -9.5% and the best was +66.8%. In money terms $100 typically became $129. This is a record of what already happened, not a forecast.

If I had invested $100 in Gold Spot (per ounce), what would have happened?

Taking every past starting day and holding for a year, the typical result turned $100 into $129. A bad year (the worst tenth) left $104 and a good year (the best tenth) $143.

How risky is Gold Spot (per ounce)?

Gold Spot (per ounce) scores 9 out of 100 on our risk scale, which we call low. That is relative to the other assets on this site, not a judgement that it is safe. The heaviest single factor is volatility. Higher means more can go wrong. Nothing here is advice to buy or sell.

Is Gold Spot (per ounce) expensive or cheap right now?

Compared with its own recent history, Gold Spot (per ounce) sits at 24% of its 252-day range. Near the bottom is only "cheap" relative to that range — a falling asset makes new lows all the way down. It answers where it is, not what happens next.

Does RSI > 70 work on Gold Spot (per ounce)?

We tested it on Gold Spot (per ounce)'s own history. After RSI > 70, price lower happened 31% of the time within 14 days, across 163 occurrences. On any random day it happened 37% of the time, so on this asset the signal told you nothing.

Does RSI < 30 work on Gold Spot (per ounce)?

We tested it on Gold Spot (per ounce)'s own history. After RSI < 30, price higher happened 77% of the time within 14 days, across 13 occurrences. On any random day it happened 63% of the time, so on this asset the signal has genuinely meant something.

What moves the price of Gold Spot (per ounce)?

The forces that historically matter most are: Interest rates and the Fed, Inflation, Central banks buying, War, crisis and elections. Measured over the last 90 days, Gold Spot (per ounce) moves strongly WITH it bitcoin (correlation 0.63).

Ask about Gold Spot (per ounce)

plain words · free

Answers are built from the same figures shown on this page. No question is too basic.

Not financial advice. We explain the figures; the decision is always yours.

What this page is, and is not. Every figure here is either a fact as of today or a count of what has already happened to Gold Spot (per ounce). Nothing on this page is a prediction, and none of it is advice to buy or sell. Past behaviour is not a promise about the future.

One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 748 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.