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Buzdy › Crypto › Ethereum
ETHU

Ethereum — what the record actually shows

Crypto
$2,439
The bottom line

Of 635 past one-year holding periods for Ethereum, 41% ended in profit. In the typical case $100 became $90. The worst year on record was -60.3% and the best was +99.5%.

Where today sits 27% of 365-day range

If you had put $100 in — every past year

635 periods
41% of one-year holding periods ended in profit. Every trading day is a starting point; we count what the next year did. This is history, not a forecast.
Bad year$54-46.3% · 1 in 10 worse
Typical$90-10.1% · median
Good year$168+67.5% · 1 in 10 better
2 -70%
23 -60%
74 -50%
69 -40%
77 -30%
74 -20%
56 -10%
35 0%
26 10%
24 20%
17 30%
47 40%
28 50%
26 60%
30 70%
16 80%
11 90%

Each bar counts how many one-year periods finished in that range. Red is a loss, green is a gain. Fees and spread are not included.

What the chart says today

RSI 1478.4 OVERBOUGHT vs upper band-0.8% MACDRISING Volume2.05× 30-DAY AVG 200-day trendABOVE

We calculate these on our own server from 1,000 days of prices, so the figures on this page are the same ones our assistant is given. Nothing is read off a picture.

Have these signals actually worked on Ethereum?

tested on its own history
RSI > 70 → price lower
It went the other way 66% of the time. Treat this signal as unreliable here.
34%
85 times
RSI < 30 → price higher
Held up 65% of the time over 14 days.
65%
34 times
Above upper Bollinger → price lower
It went the other way 58% of the time. Treat this signal as unreliable here.
42%
64 times
Volume 2x average → move over 10%
Barely better than a coin flip on this asset.
46%
54 times

Most sites show you a signal. We also show you how often it was right — including when it was wrong. A rate near 50% means the signal told you nothing on this asset.

How Ethereum compares

$100 · one year · same maths
Coin Bad year Typical Good year Ended in profit
Ethereum (this page) $54 $90 $168 41%
BNB $89 $118 $218 78%
XRP $51 $358 $534 58%
Bitcoin $60 $128 $218 57%
Aave $33 $138 $317 57%
Stellar $48 $214 $408 56%
Sui $25 $125 $469 54%

Showing 6 of 24. The full table, other holding periods and cross-market sorting are Pro features.

Everything above stays free
Pro adds the parts that take work rather than reading: all holding periods, the full comparison table across crypto and stocks, filtering by win rate and risk, and unlimited questions to the assistant.
See Pro
What this page is, and is not. Every figure here is either a fact as of today or a count of what has already happened to Ethereum. Nothing on this page is a prediction, and none of it is advice to buy or sell. Past behaviour is not a promise about the future@if($class === 'crypto') — that is especially true in crypto, where an asset can behave nothing like its own record@endif.

One caveat worth understanding. The holding periods we count start on every trading day, so they overlap heavily — yesterday's year and today's year share all but one day. That means they are not 635 independent experiments; a single long run up or down colours a great many of them at once. It is an honest picture of what holding this asset felt like, not a sample you can do statistics on. We do not show unlock dates, because the data source for them is not something we can verify for free, and we would rather leave a gap than guess. Buzdy is free to compare and does not take a commission on anything you do next.